COVID19 Prediction System

COVID19 or Coronavirus hit badly almost every country in this world includes Sri Lanka. But still, some people may not take this situation seriously due to their fake or less information. But currently, 100+ patents have founded and  3 deaths occurred nearly.

COVID19LK Real-time Prediction System

This system is powered with an ARIMA model. ARIMA, short for 'Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average' is actually a class of models that 'explains' a given time series based on its own past values, that is, its own lags and the lagged forecast errors, so that equation can be used to forecast future values. The ARIMA model will keep updating with the real-time data about the daily virus propagation in Sri Lanka.

Basically, there are 3 prediction components.

1. Predict the next 24-hour patients' count
2. Predict the upcoming week
3. Compare the past week predictions with actual data

And also there are informative components such as the latest situation in the world. You can just click the below link https://covid19-526bf.firebaseapp.com/ and see the analytics.

Thank you!